Frequency58 conducted a survey to gather the economic expectations that Venezuelans have for the short term future. The question asked was: How do you think the country will be economically in six months? The answers were categorized as better than now, as good as now, as bad as now, worse than now, don’t know and no answer.
Worse than now received 40% of the responses compared to 13% of the surveyed population that responded better than now.
By including variables on age and political self-definition of the same population, the following results were obtained:
We observe that, within the generations, a negative view of the future economic situation prevails. It is the zillenials or generation Z who have the worst appreciation of the future state of the economy for the next 6 months. Boomers are the most optimistic, with merely 17% of those surveyed having a positive view on the subject.
The negative view also prevails when we shift the focus to the political position. Following the guidelines of the ruling party-opposition bloc, it is the latter who have the highest negative view, with 78.8% of respondents answering negatively. While those who are part of the ruling party have the most positive view of Venezuela’s future economic situation with 41%.
However, those aligned have a slightly more positive perception than the opponents with 11.8% and slightly less negative with 71.2% of respondents.
Sheet:
Sampling unit: natural persons, both genders, over 18 years old, registered in the CNE Electoral Registry.
No. of interviews: 1,050 interviews.
Data collection: September 20 to 28, 2021.
Accuracy level: Sampling error estimated at ±2.5%, considering maximum variance and 95% confidence.
Sampling method: Systematic random with probability proportional to the number of telephone lines in the country.
Instrument: Telephone interview, based on structured questionnaire.
Regional quotas: Central Region (Miranda, Dtto. Capital, Carabobo, Aragua and La Guaira): 34%; Western Region (Zulia, Lara, Táchira, Falcón, Mérida, Trujillo and Yaracuy): 34%; Eastern Region (Anzoátegui, Sucre, Monagas and Nva. Esparta): 14%; Los Llanos Region (Portuguesa, Guárico, Barinas, Apure and Cojedes): 12%; Guayana Region (Bolívar, Amazonas and Delta Amacuro): 6%.
Gender: Women 52%; Men 48%.
