Frequency58 asked again about the future economic situation during the last two weeks of November. The question asked was: How do you think the country will be economically in 6 months? The answers were again divided into better than now, as good as now, as bad as now, worse than now, don’t know and no answer.
Compared to the last survey, we observed an increase in all responses, with the exception of «don’t know» which decreased and «no answer» which remained the same. However, the negative view (sum of worse than now and as bad as it is now) remained relatively unchanged, with only a 1% increase; while the positive view (sum of better than now and as good as it is now) rose from 16% to 22% in two months.
Filtering the responses by the generation to which the respondents belong, we observe that the trend of the negative view predominates with the following changes: Generation Z reduced its negative view from 85.2% in the previous survey to 76.4% for the month of November, while the positive view increased from 13.2% to 18.8%.
Likewise, the positive view in the other generations also increased, with the boomer generation and the silent generation having the most visible difference. The latter is the one that registered the most visible reduction in the negative view of the Venezuelan economic situation in the future, dropping from 68.6% in the last survey to 51.7% for the month of November. This is double that of Generation Z.
When changing generation by political self-definition, we have that those who place themselves in the ruling party lines pointed out that 66.3% of the population has a positive view of the Venezuelan economy in the short term, compared to 41% in September. Furthermore, the negative view was reduced from 31.3% to 20.3%.
Within the ranks of the opposition, there was a small reduction in the negative view of 1% compared to the last survey and a rise in the positive view of more than 3%. On the contrary, those non-aligned reduced their positive view from 11.8% to 8% and their negative view of the Venezuelan economy in 6 months time rose from 71.2% to 85%.
Finally, a new variable was added on the employment situation of the respondents. Among them, informal workers are the ones who reported the highest negative view with 93.3%, possibly related to the fact that they are the ones who have the least protection and regulation mechanisms for economic activity at their disposal. They are followed by business owners and entrepreneurs with 89.4%, who probably face the greatest restrictions and regulations on their economic activity, and permanent workers in the private sector with 88.1%.
On the other hand, retirees and pensioners have the highest positive view with 37.6%, permanent workers in the public sector with 32.7% and students with 15.5%.
Sheet:
Sampling unit: Natural persons, both genders, over 18 years of age, registered in the CNE Electoral Registry.
No. of interviews: 1,009 interviews.
Data collection: November 23 to 30, 2021.
Level of accuracy: Sampling error estimated at ±2.6%, considering maximum variance and 95% confidence.
Sampling method: Systematic random with probability proportional to the number of telephone lines in the country.
Instrument: Telephone interview, based on structured questionnaire.
Regional quotas: Central Region (Miranda, Dtto. Capital, Carabobo, Aragua and La Guaira): 34%; Western Region (Zulia, Lara, Táchira, Falcón, Mérida, Trujillo and Yaracuy): 34%; Eastern Region (Anzoátegui, Sucre, Monagas and Nva. Esparta): 14%; Los Llanos Region (Portuguesa, Guárico, Barinas, Apure and Cojedes): 12%; Guayana Region (Bolívar, Amazonas and Delta Amacuro): 6%.
Gender: Women 52%; Men 48%.
Ages: Generation Z (18-24) 11%; Generation Y (25-40) 34%: Generation X (41-55) 31%; Baby Boomers (56-75) 21%; Silent Generation (+75) 3%.
