44% of voters, according to the most recent study Frequency58 by ORC Consultores, have a high and medium willingness to exercise their right to vote in the upcoming elections.
When we add variables to measure exactly who will vote per age and political affiliation, we can see that:
Six out of 10 Zillenials (18 to 24 years old) show very low willingness to vote in regional and local elections, in contrast to the baby boomers and silent generation where 6 out of 10 do want to vote for the candidates of their preference.
One of the most important findings of Frequency58 by ORC Consultores, is that currently, despite the fact that 42% of the country defines itself as an opponent to the government of Nicolás Maduro, they are not as willing to vote as those who define themselves as pro-government, while in the opposition (which are multiple coalitions and do not vote for the same party) is 53%, in the pro-government (single coalition voting for a single party) is 71% of its followers.
Sheet:
Sampling unit: Natural persons, both genders, over 18 years of age, registered in the CNE Electoral Registry.
No. of interviews: 1,050 interviews.
Data collection: September 20 to 28, 2021.
Accuracy level: Sampling error estimated at ±2.5%, considering maximum variance and 95% confidence.
Sampling method: Systematic random with probability proportional to the number of telephone lines in the country.
Instrument: Telephone interview, based on structured questionnaire.
Regional quotas: Central Region (Miranda, Dtto. Capital, Carabobo, Aragua and La Guaira): 34%; Western Region (Zulia, Lara, Táchira, Falcón, Mérida, Trujillo and Yaracuy): 34%; Eastern Region (Anzoátegui, Sucre, Monagas and Nva. Esparta): 14%; Los Llanos Region (Portuguesa, Guárico, Barinas, Apure and Cojedes): 12%; Guayana Region (Bolívar, Amazonas and Delta Amacuro): 6%.
Gender: Women 52%; Men 48%.
